black swan

• Ein unvorhersehbares Ereignis oder Phänomen mit erheblichen Auswirkungen, das häufig in Finanzen und Risikoanalyse verwendet wird, um seltene und unerwartete Erscheinungen zu beschreiben, die im Nachhinein rationalisiert werden.

An unpredictable event or occurrence that has a major impact, often used in finance and risk analysis to describe rare and unforeseen phenomena that are rationalized in hindsight.

1. Unexpected eventC1formal

   An unpredictable event that has severe consequences and is often inappropriately rationalized after the fact.

   Schwarzer Schwan

   • The 2008 financial crisis was a black swan event.
   • Many experts failed to predict the black swan of the pandemic.
   • The company's collapse was a black swan that no one saw coming.

2. Rare occurrenceB2informal

   Something extremely rare or unlikely to happen.

   Seltenes Ereignis

   • Finding a four-leaf clover is like a black swan.
   • A total solar eclipse is a black swan in some regions.
   • Winning the lottery twice is a true black swan.